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Retail and production

Car

New car registrations

179,263
(June '24 +1% YoY)
Upward
1,006,763
('24 YTD, +6.0% YTD)
Upward
i
The number of new cars registered in the UK every month.
SMMT
Updated: 07/05/2024

New car forecast

2.2m
(upside)
2.1m
(baseline)
1.9m
(downside)
i
The Cox Automotive new car registration forecast - 2024 full year.
Cox Automotive
Updated: 20/05/2024

Used car transactions

1,967,923
(Q1 '24, +6.5% YOY)
Upward
1,967,923
('24 YTD, +6.5% YOY)
Upward
i
The number of used cars sold in the UK every quarter.
SMMT
Updated: 20/05/2024

Used car forecast

7.67m
(upside)
7.35m
(baseline)
7.11m
(downside)
i
Cox Automotive used car transactions forecast - 2024 full year.
Cox Automotive
Updated: 20/05/2024

UK new car production

69.652
(May '24, -11.9% YOY)
Downward
353,401
('24 YTD, -3.2% YOY)
Downward
i
The number of new cars manufactured in the UK each month.
SMMT
Updated: 05/07/2024

Retail margin

£2,263
(Jun '24, +£61 MOM)
Upward
i
The average margin between cars bought on Dealer Auction and retailed on Auto Trader.
Dealer Auction
Updated: 05/07/2024

Retail demand

+11%
(May '24, YOY)
Upward
i
Demand is a measure of consumer response on Auto Trader used car adverts.
Auto Trader
Updated: 05/07/2024

Used car supply

-3%
(May '24, YOY)
Downward
i
Supply is the level of used car stock in the market.
Auto Trader
Updated: 05/07/2024

Market health

+13%
(May '24, YOY)
Upward
i
Market Health is the balance between supply and demand indicating whether the used car market is stronger or weaker than previously.
Auto Trader
Updated: 05/07/2024

Median days before sold

29
(May '24, +1 YOY)
Upward
i
Market Health is the balance between supply and demand indicating whether the used car market is stronger or weaker than previously.
Auto Trader
Updated: 05/07/2024

Wholesale

Car

Average sold price

£7,111
(Jun ' 24, +£120 MOM)
Upward
i
The average sold price of used cars at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Wholesale price index

93
(Jun '24, -3 MOM)
Downward
i
This index tracks the price performance of 2–4-year-old, 50K-70K, grade 1 to 5 cars sold through Manheim auctions relative to January 2020 prices.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Average mileage

69k
(Jun '24, -1k MOM)
Downward
i
The average mileage of used cars at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Average age

101.2
(Jun '24, -2.2 MOM)
Downward
i
The average sold price of used cars at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

First-time conversions

79%
(Jun '24, -0.5% MOM)
Downward
i
The percentage of used cars sold first time at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

CAP value movements

-0.1%
(Jun '24, MOM)
Downward
i
The average change at 3-year/60k miles in used cars CAP values each month.
cap hpi
Updated: 05/07/2024

Wholesale supply index

69.2
(Jun '24, +16.4 MOM)
Upward
i
This index tracks the supply of wholesale vehicles relative to January 2020 supply levels.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Wholesale demand index

77.5
(Jun '24, +0.0 MOM)
Upward
i
This index tracks the demand for wholesale vehicles relative to whatever the start date was demand levels.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Commentary

"The SMMT’s latest new market figures continue to paint a generally positive picture overall, but as always, the real story is in the details. Battery electric cars are gaining ground, but their overall adoption remains steady rather than soaring, and most registrations stem from fleets rather than private buyers.

"The low proportion of private registrations shows that consumers are still cautious. The industry unanimously calls on the next government to support the automotive sector and consumers in transitioning to EVs. The critical question now is whether we will see action. We’re unlikely to see a significant shift in the market performance this year."

Philip Nothard - Insight & Strategy Director

Updated: 05/07/24

Commentary

Retail and production

Commercial vehicle

New LCV registrations

33,066
(June '24, -4.5% YOY)
Downward
177,620
('24 YTD, +4.5 % YTD)
Upward
i
The number of new LCVs registered in the UK each month.
SMMT
Updated: 05/07/2024

Used LCV transactions

256,286
(Q4 '21, -7% YOY)
Downward
495,592
(+28% YTD)
Upward
i
The number of used LCVs sold in the UK every quarter.
SMMT
Updated: 05/07/2024

UK LCV production

4,400
(May '24, -59.3% YOY)
Downward
45,439
('24 YTD, -3.2% YOY)
Upward
i
The number of new LCVs manufactured in the UK each month.
SMMT
Updated: 05/07/2024

New HGV registrations

11,068
(Q1 '24, -3.9% YOY)
Downward
11,068
(-3.9% '23 YTD)
Downward
i
The number of new HGVs registered in the UK each quarter.
SMMT
Updated: 05/07/2024

Wholesale

Commercial vehicle

Average sold price

£7,817
(Jun '24, -£834 MOM)
Downward
i
The average sold price of used LCVs at Manheim Auction Services
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Average age

66
(Jun '24, +3.9 MOM)
Upward
i
The average age in months of used LCVs at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

Average mileage

82k
(Jun '24, +2.7k MOM)
Upward
i
The average mileage of used LCVs at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

CAP average

90.1%
(Jun '24, -0.4% MOM)
Downward
i
The average CAP performance of used LCVs sold at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

First-time conversions

66.3%
(Jun '24, -3.4% MOM)
Downward
i
The percentage of used LCVs sold first time at Manheim Auction Services.
Manheim
Updated: 05/07/2024

CAP value movements

-3.2%
(Jun '24, MOM)
Downward
i
The average change at 3-year/60k miles in used LCVs CAP values each month.
cap hpi
Updated: 05/07/2024

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